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Joel Quenneville!? Huh!? How about all of us give Jay Woodcroft a correct likelihood?

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This in from former NHL referee Tim Peel, now a hockey commentator on the Snipes and Stripes podcast with former Blackhawks star Jeremy Roenick, his viral and provocative suggestion that the Edmonton Oilers ought to fireplace Jay Woodcroft and rent Joel Quenneville as coach.

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1. Peel’s suggestion is, in fact, setting hair on fireplace. It’s gone viral on social media, simply as most wild-eyed issues do. I’m not going to dig into Quenneville’s case, partly as a result of I believe his hiring is a non-starter in Edmonton, however primarily as a result of I’m shocked to see followers and pundits so rapidly abandon Jay Woodcroft.

Sure, the Oilers now have the second worst report within the NHL. However speak of axing Woodcroft has escalated quickly? However to what finish? What good will it do? Is it not way more prudent to permit a profitable coach like Woodcroft and his profitable gamers a while and area to work their method out of this? Ten extra video games at the very least?

2. We’re going to listen to lots such speak “Fireplace Woodcroft” in days to return, with loads of names talked about as potential replacements for Woodcroft. That speak will solely finish when Woodcroft will get this group successful once more. However I count on that can occur.

Woodcroft

3. Woodcroft has performed little however win since he arrived in Edmonton. The Oilers ignited beneath him within the second half of 2021-22, and did so once more final 12 months. Am I comfortable about how the group misplaced to Las Vegas, primarily due an absence of defensive depth and iffy goaltending? No. However how about we give Woodcroft greater than ten video games to shake off a nasty begin and get this group rolling once more, as he demonstrated he can do previously?

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4. This group has cratered within the standings however not on the ice. Edmonton’s Grade A shot differential is down up to now this 12 months but it surely’s nonetheless OK, 14.2 Grade A shot for per sport versus 13.1 towards. Grade A photographs go in about 25 per cent of the time.

Issues aren’t fairly so cheery once we have a look at 5-alarm photographs, a subset of Grade A photographs that go in about 33 per cent of the time. Edmonton has 62 up to now, the opposition 69. Edmonton is giving up extra of probably the most harmful sorts of photographs.

5, Relating to the ability, it’s Edmonton 31 for, however they’ve given up 36 on the PK. Not good, not for a group that depends on particular groups superiority.

6. Most alarming is rush possibilities, the place Edmonton has created 22 5-alarm photographs at even power, however given up 30. Even worse, they’ve scored six targets off the push at even power, however given up 18 targets. Ouch!

7. What to make of it? The Oilers are now not successful with particular groups and getting killed on the push. The largest elements? Connor McDavid and Mattias Ekholm, the group’s finest ahead and finest d-man, have been damage, getting back from harm, and never almost as efficient as they each may be.

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It’s additionally the case that the group has been impacted by weak methods play and weak decision-making on the offensive blueline and within the impartial zone. Lastly, when an enormous save has been wanted, all too typically it hasn’t been there.

8. Do I count on issues to vary beneath Woodcroft? Why not? They’ve previously. That is Woodcroft’s largest check as Oilers coach. He’s obtained much less runaway than previously as a result of loss to Vegas which was partly on him, however I’d not wager towards him. He’s sharp, efficient, prepared to vary and in a position to adapt. We’ll see how he does along with his again towards the wall. I’m betting he comes out nonetheless standing as Edmonton’s coach.

P.S. On an emergency recall, Edmonton has introduced up centre James Hamblin from Bakersfield. Mattias Janmark and Connor Brown missed the final sport with harm.

Hamblin

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On the Cult of Hockey

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